Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -325 CIN +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +12 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -10.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -10.9 (+1.1) | 145.7 (+2.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -11.3 (+0.7) | 141.4 (+6.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -11.1 (+0.9) | 142.2 (+5.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -11.2 (+0.8) | 145.0 (+3.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2025 | TTU 81 – 71 CIN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CIN 75 – 72 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 15-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 19.5 (#15) | 12.0 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.40 (#16) | 1.67 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.04 (#20) | 2.54 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.645 (#6) | 0.545 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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