Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -200 RICH +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +11 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -1.9 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -1.6 (+9.4) | 133.0 (-18.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -2.9 (+8.1) | 133.0 (-18.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -2.0 (+9.0) | 133.1 (-18.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -1.4 (+9.6) | 134.1 (-19.1) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | VCU 78 – 67 RICH |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VCU 77 – 69 RICH |
| Feb 26, 2025 | VCU 78 – 60 RICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VCU 90 – 49 RICH |
| Mar 2, 2024 | RICH 79 – 76 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-14 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-6 | 15-1 |
| Away | 7-5 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#91) | 7.8 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#105) | 1.90 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#94) | 2.06 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#106) | 0.584 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 12.6% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 18.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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