Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | VCU -7500 RICH +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +41 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -19.1 (+21.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -17.3 (+23.7) | 135.5 (+3.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -14.9 (+26.1) | 136.4 (+2.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -15.8 (+25.2) | 133.8 (+5.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -16.8 (+24.2) | 134.8 (+4.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | VCU 78 – 67 RICH |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VCU 77 – 69 RICH |
| Feb 26, 2025 | VCU 78 – 60 RICH |
| Mar 2, 2024 | RICH 79 – 76 VCU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | VCU 63 – 52 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-1 | 6-9 |
| Away | 7-3 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#51) | -4.4 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#68) | -1.05 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#58) | -1.18 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#57) | 0.475 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 18.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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