Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | RICH +275 VCU -345 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +11 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -5.6 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -5.6 (-5.4) | 151.1 (-6.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -5.4 (-5.6) | 149.9 (-4.9) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -5.2 (-5.8) | 148.8 (-3.8) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -5.0 (-6.0) | 150.7 (-5.7) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | VCU 77 – 69 RICH |
| Feb 26, 2025 | VCU 78 – 60 RICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VCU 90 – 49 RICH |
| Mar 2, 2024 | RICH 79 – 76 VCU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | VCU 63 – 52 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-7 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#123) | 11.4 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#163) | 2.06 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#138) | 2.83 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#181) | 0.590 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 33.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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