Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | RICH -175 VCU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +3 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -3.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (+23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -4.4 (-1.4) | 136.2 (+18.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -1.4 (+1.6) | 136.4 (+18.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -4.5 (-1.5) | 135.5 (+19.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -4.3 (-1.3) | 136.1 (+18.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | VCU 78 – 67 RICH |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VCU 77 – 69 RICH |
| Feb 26, 2025 | VCU 78 – 60 RICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VCU 90 – 49 RICH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | VCU 63 – 52 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 24-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#76) | 7.2 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#50) | 1.35 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#60) | 1.63 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#60) | 0.571 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 5.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 12.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 17.2% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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