Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -950 RICH +625 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -10.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.6 (-13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -10.9 (-2.9) | 151.3 (-5.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -14.3 (-6.3) | 149.7 (-3.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -10.2 (-2.2) | 149.4 (-3.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -9.9 (-1.9) | 148.6 (-2.6) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | VCU 78 – 67 RICH |
| Feb 26, 2025 | VCU 78 – 60 RICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VCU 90 – 49 RICH |
| Mar 2, 2024 | RICH 79 – 76 VCU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | VCU 63 – 52 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-7 |
| Away | 7-3 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#50) | 3.5 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#54) | 0.10 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#53) | 0.54 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#51) | 0.501 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.4% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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