Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | RICH +1000 VCU -2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +18 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -15.8 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -13.7 (-4.3) | 137.3 (+0.7) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -13.4 (-4.6) | 138.0 (-0.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -14.3 (-3.7) | 136.4 (+1.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -13.2 (-4.8) | 137.0 (+1.0) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | VCU 78 – 67 RICH |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VCU 77 – 69 RICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VCU 90 – 49 RICH |
| Mar 2, 2024 | RICH 79 – 76 VCU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | VCU 63 – 52 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 6-9 | 15-1 |
| Away | 2-11 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#245) | 14.0 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#242) | 1.93 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#238) | 2.71 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#214) | 0.591 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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