Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | MRMK -163 CCSU +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +3 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -6.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -4.3 (-1.3) | 129.9 (+9.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -4.2 (-1.2) | 132.1 (+6.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -3.9 (-0.9) | 131.6 (+7.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -4.1 (-1.1) | 130.8 (+8.2) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2024 | CCSU 75 – 70 MRMK |
| Feb 24, 2023 | MRMK 70 – 54 CCSU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | MRMK 64 – 61 CCSU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | CCSU 60 – 57 MRMK |
| Jan 8, 2022 | MRMK 66 – 57 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 13-3 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-9 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#177) | -3.8 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#213) | -0.49 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#219) | -0.79 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#175) | 0.477 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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