Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | CCSU -111 MRMK -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -2.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -1.1 (+3.9) | 130.8 (+14.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -0.2 (+4.8) | 133.4 (+11.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -0.8 (+4.2) | 132.0 (+13.0) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -0.5 (+4.5) | 132.6 (+12.4) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2024 | MRMK 71 – 68 CCSU |
| Feb 24, 2023 | MRMK 70 – 54 CCSU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | MRMK 64 – 61 CCSU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | CCSU 60 – 57 MRMK |
| Jan 8, 2022 | MRMK 66 – 57 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 13-3 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 64.6 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#217) | -0.6 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#229) | -0.14 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#251) | -0.18 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#229) | 0.501 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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