Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -138 CCSU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +16 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -3.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -2.7 (+13.3) | 129.9 (-5.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -3.8 (+12.2) | 130.1 (-6.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -3.0 (+13.0) | 130.1 (-6.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -3.6 (+12.4) | 130.2 (-6.2) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2024 | MRMK 71 – 68 CCSU |
| Jan 15, 2024 | CCSU 75 – 70 MRMK |
| Jan 27, 2023 | MRMK 64 – 61 CCSU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | CCSU 60 – 57 MRMK |
| Jan 8, 2022 | MRMK 66 – 57 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 6-7 |
| Away | 8-8 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W11 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.9 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.0 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#329) | -9.8 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#302) | -2.04 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#302) | -2.51 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#257) | 0.418 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 26.9 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 20.1% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 64.5% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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