Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 119.5 Over |
| Money | CCSU +100 MRMK +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +3 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -5.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -1.7 (-4.7) | 123.0 (+2.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -1.9 (-4.9) | 126.2 (-1.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -2.7 (-5.7) | 125.7 (-0.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -2.6 (-5.6) | 125.2 (-0.2) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2024 | MRMK 71 – 68 CCSU |
| Jan 15, 2024 | CCSU 75 – 70 MRMK |
| Feb 24, 2023 | MRMK 70 – 54 CCSU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | CCSU 60 – 57 MRMK |
| Jan 8, 2022 | MRMK 66 – 57 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 12-4 |
| Home | 6-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-14 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | W11 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 61.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 64.0 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#325) | -11.0 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#350) | -2.06 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#347) | -2.38 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#339) | 0.426 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 25.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 6.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 18.5% |
| FT Rate | 13.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 26.6% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 61.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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