Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 122.0 Under |
| Money | MRMK -270 CCSU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +3 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -6.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -3.8 (-6.8) | 128.7 (-11.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -4.3 (-7.3) | 125.0 (-8.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -4.1 (-7.1) | 127.5 (-10.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -4.7 (-7.7) | 128.8 (-11.8) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2024 | MRMK 71 – 68 CCSU |
| Jan 15, 2024 | CCSU 75 – 70 MRMK |
| Feb 24, 2023 | MRMK 70 – 54 CCSU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | MRMK 64 – 61 CCSU |
| Jan 8, 2022 | MRMK 66 – 57 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-7 | 5-7 |
| Away | 8-9 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.9 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#316) | -13.4 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#306) | -2.52 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#319) | -3.03 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#283) | 0.394 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 28.0 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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