They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
Northeast Conference · Hammel Court · February 11, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread MRMK -6.0 Away covered
O/U 122.0 Under
Money MRMK -270 / CCSU +220
Model Predictions
Spread Total MRMK win
Actual CCSU +3 117 Lost
Massey MRMK -6.8 (-9.8)
Massey Totals 119.2 (-2.2)
Bradley-Terry 79%
Weighted B-T 78%
Efficiency Plus ML MRMK -4.3 (-7.3) 125.0 (-8.0) 66%
Baseline Tuned ML MRMK -3.8 (-6.8) 128.7 (-11.7) 64%
Baseline ML MRMK -4.7 (-7.7) 128.8 (-11.8) 64%
Baseline Plus ML MRMK -4.1 (-7.1) 127.5 (-10.5) 63%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 3, 2024 MRMK 7168 CCSU
Jan 15, 2024 CCSU 7570 MRMK
Feb 24, 2023 MRMK 7054 CCSU
Jan 27, 2023 MRMK 6461 CCSU
Jan 8, 2022 MRMK 6657 CCSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MRMK CCSU
Overall 14-16 8-24
Conference 10-8 5-13
Home 7-7 5-7
Away 8-9 4-15
Neutral 0-0 0-2
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak W2 L1
Avg Pts For 58.9 61.8
Avg Pts Against 62.8 72.1
Massey -9.7 (#316) -13.4 (#344)
Bradley-Terry -1.74 (#306) -2.52 (#340)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.34 (#319) -3.03 (#342)
RPI 0.440 (#283) 0.394 (#337)
Shooting & Four Factors MRMK CCSU
FG% 39.6% 40.0%
3PT% 32.5% 34.0%
REB / G 28.0 32.2
OREB / G 7.9 9.0
AST / TO 0.82 0.75
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.0% 46.5%
TOV% 18.8% 20.5%
ORB% 22.9% 25.5%
FT Rate 17.4% 19.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.2% 53.1%
Opp TOV% 22.4% 19.4%
DRB% 63.4% 68.6%
Opp FT Rate 25.4% 19.7%

Game Analysis

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