Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +9 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -0.8 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -1.4 (-7.6) | 131.3 (-8.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -1.6 (-7.4) | 129.4 (-6.4) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -1.7 (-7.3) | 130.5 (-7.5) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -1.0 (-8.0) | 132.8 (-9.8) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2024 | MRMK 71 – 68 CCSU |
| Jan 15, 2024 | CCSU 75 – 70 MRMK |
| Feb 24, 2023 | MRMK 70 – 54 CCSU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | MRMK 64 – 61 CCSU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | CCSU 60 – 57 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-15 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 58.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 62.8 |
| Massey | -12.2 (#336) | -7.4 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#326) | -1.21 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#319) | -1.74 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#321) | 0.444 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 25.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 19.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 61.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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