You have to let that raga drop. "Rock the Casbah" - The Clash
Northeast Conference · Detrick Gymnasium · January 8, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread MRMK -4.5 Away covered
O/U 125.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total CCSU win
Actual MRMK +9 123 Lost
Massey MRMK -0.8 (-8.2)
Massey Totals 121.9 (+1.1)
Bradley-Terry 45%
Weighted B-T 47%
Efficiency Plus ML MRMK -1.6 (-7.4) 129.4 (-6.4) 28%
Baseline Tuned ML MRMK -1.4 (-7.6) 131.3 (-8.3) 41%
Baseline ML MRMK -1.0 (-8.0) 132.8 (-9.8) 39%
Baseline Plus ML MRMK -1.7 (-7.3) 130.5 (-7.5) 35%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 3, 2024 MRMK 7168 CCSU
Jan 15, 2024 CCSU 7570 MRMK
Feb 24, 2023 MRMK 7054 CCSU
Jan 27, 2023 MRMK 6461 CCSU
Feb 11, 2022 CCSU 6057 MRMK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CCSU MRMK
Overall 8-24 14-16
Conference 5-13 10-8
Home 5-7 7-7
Away 4-15 8-9
Neutral 0-2 0-0
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 W2
Avg Pts For 61.8 58.9
Avg Pts Against 72.1 62.8
Massey -12.2 (#336) -7.4 (#290)
Bradley-Terry -2.14 (#326) -1.21 (#275)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.64 (#319) -1.74 (#282)
RPI 0.400 (#321) 0.444 (#274)
Shooting & Four Factors CCSU MRMK
FG% 39.8% 39.0%
3PT% 33.1% 33.8%
REB / G 31.7 25.4
OREB / G 8.4 6.6
AST / TO 0.70 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.0% 46.0%
TOV% 19.9% 17.7%
ORB% 23.2% 19.3%
FT Rate 19.7% 17.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.9% 50.0%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 24.0%
DRB% 69.0% 61.3%
Opp FT Rate 21.0% 25.2%

Game Analysis

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