Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -275 MUR +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +28 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -6.6 (-34.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-27.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -5.6 (-33.6) | 137.3 (-23.3) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -4.2 (-32.2) | 135.6 (-21.6) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -5.3 (-33.3) | 137.5 (-23.5) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -5.6 (-33.6) | 137.4 (-23.4) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | UNI 89 – 60 MUR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNI 81 – 76 MUR |
| Feb 18, 2025 | UNI 74 – 67 MUR |
| Jan 9, 2025 | MUR 71 – 68 UNI |
| Jan 14, 2024 | UNI 70 – 60 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-8 |
| Away | 6-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#114) | 0.9 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#103) | -0.78 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#105) | -0.30 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#84) | 0.467 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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