Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UNI -225 MUR +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +3 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -7.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -6.5 (-9.5) | 141.4 (-2.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -5.7 (-8.7) | 139.3 (-0.3) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -6.8 (-9.8) | 141.2 (-2.2) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -6.9 (-9.9) | 142.3 (-3.3) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | UNI 89 – 60 MUR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNI 81 – 76 MUR |
| Feb 18, 2025 | UNI 74 – 67 MUR |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MUR 71 – 43 UNI |
| Jan 14, 2024 | UNI 70 – 60 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#84) | 2.3 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#110) | 0.19 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#105) | 0.58 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#98) | 0.524 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.5% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.3% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 32.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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