Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MUR +110 UNI -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +7 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -4.1 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -2.5 (-4.5) | 134.2 (+6.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -2.9 (-4.1) | 133.0 (+8.0) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -2.9 (-4.1) | 134.5 (+6.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -2.8 (-4.2) | 134.4 (+6.6) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | UNI 89 – 60 MUR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNI 81 – 76 MUR |
| Jan 9, 2025 | MUR 71 – 68 UNI |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MUR 71 – 43 UNI |
| Jan 14, 2024 | UNI 70 – 60 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#146) | 4.9 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#157) | 0.84 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#151) | 0.90 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#158) | 0.552 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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