Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | MUR -125 UNI +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +10 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | MUR -1.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -0.3 (-10.3) | 146.1 (-16.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -0.4 (-10.4) | 140.9 (-10.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -1.1 (-11.1) | 145.3 (-15.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -0.8 (-10.8) | 145.9 (-15.9) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | UNI 89 – 60 MUR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNI 81 – 76 MUR |
| Feb 18, 2025 | UNI 74 – 67 MUR |
| Jan 9, 2025 | MUR 71 – 68 UNI |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MUR 71 – 43 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#144) | 3.5 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#220) | 0.45 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#189) | 0.67 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#224) | 0.525 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 78.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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