Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | BU -111 LEH -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +1 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | BU -1.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -0.4 (+1.4) | 133.2 (+9.8) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -0.5 (+0.5) | 133.0 (+10.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -0.7 (+0.3) | 132.8 (+10.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -0.3 (+0.7) | 133.8 (+9.2) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | LEH 74 – 60 BU |
| Feb 22, 2026 | LEH 70 – 67 BU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | LEH 93 – 91 BU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | BU 79 – 68 LEH |
| Jan 15, 2025 | BU 63 – 58 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-10 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#295) | -5.1 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#322) | -2.19 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#302) | -2.35 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#325) | 0.432 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 79.0% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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