Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | EIU +138 LR -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +24 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | EIU -0.9 (-24.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-30.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -0.5 (-23.5) | 138.6 (-20.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -0.3 (-23.7) | 139.0 (-21.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -0.0 (-24.0) | 140.5 (-22.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -0.8 (-23.2) | 140.7 (-22.7) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | EIU 78 – 72 LR |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LR 74 – 63 EIU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | EIU 71 – 60 LR |
| Jan 27, 2025 | EIU 56 – 54 LR |
| Jan 6, 2024 | EIU 90 – 88 LR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 9-6 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#305) | -6.0 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#301) | -1.21 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#305) | -1.29 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#282) | 0.403 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
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