Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | LR -258 EIU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +11 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | LR -2.3 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -1.2 (+9.8) | 133.7 (+3.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -2.6 (+8.4) | 132.1 (+4.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -1.7 (+9.3) | 132.4 (+4.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LR -1.5 (+9.5) | 134.1 (+2.9) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | EIU 78 – 72 LR |
| Feb 28, 2025 | EIU 71 – 60 LR |
| Jan 27, 2025 | EIU 56 – 54 LR |
| Feb 3, 2024 | LR 71 – 47 EIU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | EIU 90 – 88 LR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-13 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#319) | -9.2 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#271) | -1.23 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#281) | -1.78 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#278) | 0.439 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 63.2% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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