Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | EIU +114 LR -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +6 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | EIU -1.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (+15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -0.8 (+6.8) | 132.3 (+17.7) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -0.3 (+5.7) | 131.5 (+18.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -0.7 (+5.3) | 132.1 (+17.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -0.3 (+6.3) | 133.1 (+16.9) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | LR 74 – 63 EIU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | EIU 71 – 60 LR |
| Jan 27, 2025 | EIU 56 – 54 LR |
| Feb 3, 2024 | LR 71 – 47 EIU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | EIU 90 – 88 LR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#320) | -9.8 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#314) | -1.47 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#323) | -1.96 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#286) | 0.445 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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