Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | EIU +210 LR -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +11 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | LR -4.9 (+15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -4.3 (+15.3) | 131.3 (-0.3) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -3.9 (+14.9) | 130.4 (+0.6) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -4.6 (+15.6) | 128.8 (+2.2) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LR -4.5 (+15.5) | 129.2 (+1.8) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | EIU 78 – 72 LR |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LR 74 – 63 EIU |
| Jan 27, 2025 | EIU 56 – 54 LR |
| Feb 3, 2024 | LR 71 – 47 EIU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | EIU 90 – 88 LR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#334) | -3.2 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#331) | -0.52 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.76 (#338) | -0.70 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#325) | 0.486 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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