Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | LR -750 EIU +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +2 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | LR -10.4 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -9.1 (-11.1) | 131.6 (-21.6) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -8.6 (-10.6) | 130.1 (-20.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -9.5 (-11.5) | 130.2 (-20.2) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LR -9.3 (-11.3) | 130.6 (-20.6) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | EIU 78 – 72 LR |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LR 74 – 63 EIU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | EIU 71 – 60 LR |
| Feb 3, 2024 | LR 71 – 47 EIU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | EIU 90 – 88 LR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#205) | -12.6 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#172) | -3.22 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#197) | -4.01 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#170) | 0.350 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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