Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | ME +188 BRY -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +7 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | ME -0.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -0.1 (+7.1) | 140.7 (+10.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -0.1 (+7.1) | 137.7 (+13.3) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -0.2 (+7.2) | 139.9 (+11.1) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -0.7 (+6.3) | 141.9 (+9.1) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BRY 73 – 67 ME |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BRY 56 – 51 ME |
| Mar 15, 2025 | BRY 79 – 59 ME |
| Mar 1, 2025 | BRY 80 – 72 ME |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BRY 81 – 55 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 11-5 |
| Home | 8-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#228) | -0.1 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#261) | 0.53 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#247) | 0.71 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#237) | 0.534 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 19.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.