Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | KU -111 HOU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +13 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -5.6 (+18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -2.5 (+15.5) | 132.5 (+10.5) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -2.3 (+15.3) | 131.6 (+11.4) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -1.1 (+14.1) | 133.6 (+9.4) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -1.5 (+14.5) | 131.8 (+11.2) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | HOU 69 – 47 KU |
| Feb 24, 2026 | KU 69 – 56 HOU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | HOU 65 – 59 KU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | HOU 92 – 86 KU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | HOU 76 – 46 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 32-5 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 15-1 | 17-0 |
| Away | 3-7 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 57.6 |
| Massey | 15.4 (#18) | 24.5 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#10) | 3.61 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.27 (#10) | 4.72 (#1) |
| RPI | 0.642 (#7) | 0.668 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 39.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 41.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 25.4% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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