Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | KU -110 HOU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +6 | 178 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -1.9 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.0 (+53.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -0.1 (-5.9) | 127.1 (+50.9) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -0.7 (-5.3) | 125.9 (+52.1) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -0.1 (-6.1) | 129.3 (+48.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -1.1 (-7.1) | 130.4 (+47.6) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | HOU 69 – 47 KU |
| Feb 24, 2026 | KU 69 – 56 HOU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | HOU 65 – 59 KU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | HOU 76 – 46 KU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | KU 78 – 65 HOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 35-5 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 19-1 |
| Home | 14-3 | 16-1 |
| Away | 4-8 | 10-0 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 9-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 58.6 |
| Massey | 20.1 (#9) | 25.3 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.34 (#13) | 3.05 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.35 (#10) | 3.87 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.672 (#4) | 0.635 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 39.9% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 38.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 41.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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