I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
Houston Cougars
76 46
FINAL Conference
Kansas Jayhawks
Big 12 Conference · Fertitta Center · March 9, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread HOU -7.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money HOU -350 / KU +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total HOU win
Actual HOU +30 122 Won
Massey HOU -10.4 (+19.6)
Massey Totals 133.3 (-11.3)
Bradley-Terry 86%
Weighted B-T 90%
Efficiency Plus ML HOU -11.8 (+18.2) 133.1 (-11.1) 85%
Baseline Tuned ML HOU -10.3 (+19.7) 135.1 (-13.1) 83%
Baseline ML HOU -10.1 (+19.9) 135.3 (-13.3) 85%
Baseline Plus ML HOU -11.8 (+18.2) 135.3 (-13.3) 85%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 14, 2026 HOU 6947 KU
Feb 24, 2026 KU 6956 HOU
Mar 4, 2025 HOU 6559 KU
Jan 25, 2025 HOU 9286 KU
Feb 3, 2024 KU 7865 HOU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HOU KU
Overall 32-5 23-11
Conference 15-3 10-8
Home 17-0 15-1
Away 7-3 3-7
Neutral 8-2 4-3
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.5 75.3
Avg Pts Against 57.6 70.3
Massey 23.2 (#2) 16.1 (#16)
Bradley-Terry 3.82 (#2) 2.63 (#10)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.61 (#2) 3.13 (#15)
RPI 0.662 (#2) 0.621 (#10)
Shooting & Four Factors HOU KU
FG% 43.8% 49.4%
3PT% 34.7% 34.9%
REB / G 37.9 35.7
OREB / G 14.0 8.0
AST / TO 1.51 1.69
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.0% 54.5%
TOV% 13.3% 16.1%
ORB% 37.8% 25.5%
FT Rate 21.3% 24.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.8% 47.5%
Opp TOV% 24.8% 17.0%
DRB% 70.4% 74.2%
Opp FT Rate 26.2% 20.6%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.