Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | HOU -500 KU +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +6 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -10.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -10.9 (-4.9) | 131.2 (-7.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -11.5 (-5.5) | 130.2 (-6.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -11.9 (-5.9) | 132.9 (-8.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -10.5 (-4.5) | 132.7 (-8.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | HOU 69 – 47 KU |
| Feb 24, 2026 | KU 69 – 56 HOU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | HOU 92 – 86 KU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | HOU 76 – 46 KU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | KU 78 – 65 HOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-5 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 11-9 |
| Home | 16-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 10-0 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 9-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.6 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 24.8 (#3) | 17.3 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.78 (#6) | 2.43 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.96 (#5) | 3.07 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.643 (#7) | 0.610 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.8% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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