Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | KU +124 HOU -148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +13 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -0.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -0.7 (+12.3) | 133.7 (-8.7) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -0.5 (+12.5) | 137.6 (-12.6) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -0.1 (+12.9) | 135.5 (-10.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -0.2 (+13.2) | 133.6 (-8.6) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | HOU 69 – 47 KU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | HOU 65 – 59 KU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | HOU 92 – 86 KU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | HOU 76 – 46 KU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | KU 78 – 65 HOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 30-7 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 14-4 |
| Home | 13-2 | 15-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 9-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 76.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 62.3 |
| Massey | 18.8 (#21) | 22.3 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.53 (#13) | 3.94 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.11 (#19) | 5.05 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.645 (#6) | 0.638 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 12.8% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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