Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | HOW -333 HAMP +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +2 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | HOW -9.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.0 (-35.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -7.9 (-9.9) | 151.5 (-27.5) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -8.4 (-10.4) | 149.1 (-25.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -8.6 (-10.6) | 149.4 (-25.4) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -7.4 (-9.4) | 149.3 (-25.3) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | HOW 61 – 57 HAMP |
| Feb 1, 2025 | HAMP 80 – 79 HOW |
| Dec 28, 2024 | HAMP 83 – 67 HOW |
| Nov 7, 2023 | HOW 92 – 80 HAMP |
| Dec 3, 2022 | HAMP 74 – 65 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-9 |
| Away | 6-9 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#272) | -14.9 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#291) | -3.84 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#288) | -4.35 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#310) | 0.350 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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