Betting Lines
| Spread | HAMP -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | HOW +130 HAMP -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +4 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | HAMP -5.7 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (-22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -4.1 (+8.1) | 137.2 (-19.2) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAMP -5.0 (+9.0) | 136.2 (-18.2) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -4.4 (+8.4) | 136.6 (-18.6) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -4.5 (+8.5) | 138.4 (-20.4) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2025 | HAMP 80 – 79 HOW |
| Dec 28, 2024 | HAMP 83 – 67 HOW |
| Feb 3, 2024 | HAMP 63 – 61 HOW |
| Nov 7, 2023 | HOW 92 – 80 HAMP |
| Dec 3, 2022 | HAMP 74 – 65 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#303) | -3.0 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#309) | -0.90 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.52 (#304) | -1.33 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#326) | 0.413 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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