Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP +120 HOW -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | HAMP -5.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -2.5 (+6.5) | 145.7 (-6.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAMP -2.5 (+6.5) | 145.0 (-6.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -2.1 (+6.9) | 144.5 (-5.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -2.6 (+6.4) | 144.9 (-5.9) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | HOW 61 – 57 HAMP |
| Feb 1, 2025 | HAMP 80 – 79 HOW |
| Dec 28, 2024 | HAMP 83 – 67 HOW |
| Feb 3, 2024 | HAMP 63 – 61 HOW |
| Nov 7, 2023 | HOW 92 – 80 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-3 |
| Home | 7-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-13 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#336) | -10.6 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.94 (#346) | -0.74 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.70 (#347) | -1.47 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.379 (#334) | 0.459 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.9% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.5% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 58.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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