Betting Lines
| Spread | HAMP -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | HAMP -140 HOW +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +1 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | HAMP -1.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -2.9 (-1.9) | 146.8 (+12.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAMP -2.1 (-1.1) | 143.5 (+15.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -2.0 (-1.0) | 148.1 (+10.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -2.2 (-1.2) | 149.2 (+9.8) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | HOW 61 – 57 HAMP |
| Dec 28, 2024 | HAMP 83 – 67 HOW |
| Feb 3, 2024 | HAMP 63 – 61 HOW |
| Nov 7, 2023 | HOW 92 – 80 HAMP |
| Dec 3, 2022 | HAMP 74 – 65 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 80.7 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#258) | -7.7 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#252) | -1.10 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#243) | -1.54 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#211) | 0.455 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 39.7% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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