Betting Lines
| Spread | HAMP -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | HAMP -170 HOW +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +16 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | HAMP -6.9 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -6.6 (+9.4) | 141.8 (+8.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAMP -5.2 (+10.8) | 140.4 (+9.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -6.5 (+9.5) | 143.6 (+6.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -6.7 (+9.3) | 144.8 (+5.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | HOW 61 – 57 HAMP |
| Feb 1, 2025 | HAMP 80 – 79 HOW |
| Feb 3, 2024 | HAMP 63 – 61 HOW |
| Nov 7, 2023 | HOW 92 – 80 HAMP |
| Dec 3, 2022 | HAMP 74 – 65 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 80.7 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#203) | -4.9 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#189) | -1.35 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#182) | -1.81 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#169) | 0.469 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.6% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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