And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
Conference USA · Ocean Bank Convocation Center · February 3, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SHSU -2.5 Home covered
O/U 149.5 Under
Money FIU +110 / SHSU -138
Model Predictions
Spread Total FIU win
Actual FIU +7 129 Won
Massey SHSU -2.4 (+9.4)
Massey Totals 152.6 (-23.6)
Bradley-Terry 25%
Weighted B-T 29%
Efficiency Plus ML SHSU -3.2 (+10.2) 144.9 (-15.9) 35%
Baseline Tuned ML SHSU -3.5 (+10.5) 147.6 (-18.6) 34%
Baseline ML SHSU -3.9 (+10.9) 147.6 (-18.6) 34%
Baseline Plus ML SHSU -3.3 (+10.3) 148.6 (-19.6) 32%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 SHSU 10067 FIU
Jan 17, 2026 SHSU 7663 FIU
Feb 7, 2025 FIU 8582 SHSU
Jan 11, 2025 SHSU 8174 FIU
Mar 13, 2024 SHSU 7859 FIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FIU SHSU
Overall 11-22 21-12
Conference 5-11 13-3
Home 9-6 12-2
Away 1-12 7-9
Neutral 1-4 2-1
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.3 71.3
Avg Pts Against 77.2 69.9
Massey -7.9 (#298) -1.9 (#198)
Bradley-Terry -1.35 (#295) 0.39 (#139)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.46 (#286) 0.14 (#163)
RPI 0.420 (#312) 0.529 (#128)
Shooting & Four Factors FIU SHSU
FG% 42.9% 41.0%
3PT% 33.0% 32.5%
REB / G 30.4 37.1
OREB / G 10.6 11.9
AST / TO 0.96 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.7% 46.6%
TOV% 20.0% 18.0%
ORB% 28.1% 30.7%
FT Rate 18.7% 23.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 58.1% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 25.4% 19.4%
DRB% 64.0% 73.8%
Opp FT Rate 26.7% 24.3%

Game Analysis

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