Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | YALE -154 PRIN +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +6 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -0.2 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -1.1 (+4.9) | 137.4 (-3.4) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -1.4 (+4.6) | 142.3 (-8.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -1.2 (+4.8) | 142.5 (-8.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -0.8 (+5.2) | 140.8 (-6.8) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | YALE 78 – 53 PRIN |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PRIN 76 – 60 YALE |
| Mar 15, 2025 | YALE 59 – 57 PRIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YALE 84 – 57 PRIN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | YALE 77 – 70 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 24-5 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 12-2 |
| Home | 9-2 | 12-1 |
| Away | 9-6 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#93) | 9.6 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#87) | 2.46 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#90) | 2.75 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#58) | 0.621 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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