Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | IU -300 PSU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +14 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | IU -3.3 (-17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -4.1 (-18.1) | 149.9 (+6.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -3.8 (-17.8) | 150.2 (+5.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -4.0 (-18.0) | 146.9 (+9.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IU -4.0 (-18.0) | 148.1 (+7.9) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2025 | IU 113 – 72 PSU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | IU 83 – 78 PSU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | IU 77 – 71 PSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | IU 61 – 59 PSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PSU 83 – 74 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#101) | 5.2 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#68) | 0.38 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#69) | 0.75 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#59) | 0.503 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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