Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | IU -1350 PSU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +41 | 185 | Won |
| Massey | IU -15.1 (+25.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (+32.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -13.3 (+27.7) | 147.3 (+37.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -12.0 (+29.0) | 145.2 (+39.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -12.2 (+28.8) | 147.6 (+37.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -12.3 (+28.7) | 149.9 (+35.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2025 | IU 83 – 78 PSU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | IU 77 – 71 PSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | IU 61 – 59 PSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PSU 83 – 74 IU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | PSU 85 – 71 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 3-17 |
| Home | 14-4 | 9-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 79.3 |
| Massey | 16.2 (#20) | 5.8 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#95) | 1.24 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#100) | 1.36 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#69) | 0.558 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 50.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.98 | 1.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 12.2% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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