Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | IU -270 PSU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +5 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | IU -3.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -4.1 (+0.9) | 148.0 (+13.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -4.3 (+0.7) | 146.6 (+14.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -4.6 (+0.4) | 147.0 (+14.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -4.4 (+0.6) | 146.8 (+14.2) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2025 | IU 113 – 72 PSU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | IU 77 – 71 PSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | IU 61 – 59 PSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PSU 83 – 74 IU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | PSU 85 – 71 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#55) | 10.6 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#53) | 1.13 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#50) | 1.86 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#50) | 0.522 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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