Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | BRWN +275 PRIN -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +10 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -11.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -10.8 (+0.8) | 137.6 (-7.6) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -10.2 (+0.2) | 140.0 (-10.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -10.9 (+0.9) | 140.0 (-10.0) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -11.8 (+1.8) | 138.6 (-8.6) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | BRWN 80 – 71 PRIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | PRIN 63 – 53 BRWN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BRWN 70 – 56 PRIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | PRIN 69 – 49 BRWN |
| Mar 16, 2024 | BRWN 90 – 81 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 24-5 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 12-2 |
| Home | 5-7 | 12-1 |
| Away | 6-8 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#263) | 9.6 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#311) | 2.46 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#295) | 2.75 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#305) | 0.621 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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