Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN -600 BRWN +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +9 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -11.5 (-20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+30.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -9.0 (-18.0) | 141.1 (+29.9) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -8.7 (-17.7) | 140.1 (+30.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -9.8 (-18.8) | 142.2 (+28.8) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -8.8 (-17.8) | 143.4 (+27.6) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | BRWN 80 – 71 PRIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | PRIN 63 – 53 BRWN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BRWN 70 – 56 PRIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | PRIN 69 – 49 BRWN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | PRIN 72 – 63 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-5 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 8-6 |
| Home | 12-1 | 5-7 |
| Away | 11-3 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#63) | -2.5 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#15) | -0.43 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#26) | -0.54 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#13) | 0.483 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.81 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 11.9% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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