Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN -1400 BRWN +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +9 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -17.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -14.6 (-5.6) | 141.2 (-6.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -14.3 (-5.3) | 139.1 (-4.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -15.0 (-6.0) | 142.2 (-7.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -14.9 (-5.9) | 141.7 (-6.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | BRWN 80 – 71 PRIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | PRIN 63 – 53 BRWN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BRWN 70 – 56 PRIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | PRIN 69 – 49 BRWN |
| Mar 16, 2024 | BRWN 90 – 81 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-5 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 8-6 |
| Home | 12-1 | 5-7 |
| Away | 11-3 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#68) | -5.1 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#26) | -1.47 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#39) | -1.56 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#26) | 0.436 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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