Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN -198 BRWN +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +10 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -5.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.0 (-16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -4.9 (+5.1) | 136.0 (-20.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -4.3 (+5.7) | 137.7 (-21.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -3.7 (+6.3) | 135.0 (-19.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -4.1 (+5.9) | 134.9 (-18.9) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | BRWN 80 – 71 PRIN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BRWN 70 – 56 PRIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | PRIN 69 – 49 BRWN |
| Mar 16, 2024 | BRWN 90 – 81 PRIN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | PRIN 72 – 63 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 9-18 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 3-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 1-12 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#241) | -6.7 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#271) | -1.57 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#247) | -2.10 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#277) | 0.423 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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