Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN -340 BRWN +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +20 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -7.6 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-26.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -6.6 (+13.4) | 144.8 (-26.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -8.2 (+11.8) | 144.8 (-26.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -6.2 (+13.8) | 143.5 (-25.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -5.8 (+14.2) | 144.1 (-26.1) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | BRWN 80 – 71 PRIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | PRIN 63 – 53 BRWN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BRWN 70 – 56 PRIN |
| Mar 16, 2024 | BRWN 90 – 81 PRIN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | PRIN 72 – 63 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-11 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 6-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#160) | -4.0 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#111) | -0.48 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#149) | -0.89 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#95) | 0.483 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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