Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | BRWN +170 PRIN -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +14 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -1.7 (+15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -1.3 (+15.3) | 139.8 (-13.8) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -1.9 (+15.9) | 139.1 (-13.1) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -1.1 (+15.1) | 139.5 (-13.5) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -1.2 (+15.2) | 140.0 (-14.0) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | BRWN 80 – 71 PRIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | PRIN 63 – 53 BRWN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | PRIN 69 – 49 BRWN |
| Mar 16, 2024 | BRWN 90 – 81 PRIN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | PRIN 72 – 63 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 19-11 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 8-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#231) | 0.7 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#219) | 0.79 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#228) | 0.45 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#191) | 0.552 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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