Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | BRWN -135 PRIN +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +9 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | BRWN -1.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.5 (+21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -0.1 (+9.1) | 133.0 (+18.0) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -0.0 (+9.0) | 131.9 (+19.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -0.1 (+9.1) | 132.2 (+18.8) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -0.3 (+9.3) | 134.1 (+16.9) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | PRIN 63 – 53 BRWN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BRWN 70 – 56 PRIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | PRIN 69 – 49 BRWN |
| Mar 16, 2024 | BRWN 90 – 81 PRIN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | PRIN 72 – 63 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-18 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 5-9 |
| Home | 6-8 | 8-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#273) | -5.4 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#322) | -1.25 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#319) | -1.37 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#331) | 0.449 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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