Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | OHIO -300 M-OH +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +9 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -6.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -6.4 (+2.6) | 145.4 (+1.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -5.3 (+3.7) | 145.3 (+1.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -5.0 (+4.0) | 145.7 (+1.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -5.2 (+3.8) | 147.7 (-0.7) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | M-OH 110 – 108 OHIO |
| Feb 14, 2026 | M-OH 90 – 74 OHIO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OHIO 75 – 66 M-OH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | M-OH 73 – 69 OHIO |
| Mar 9, 2024 | OHIO 72 – 59 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#169) | -3.6 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#229) | -0.24 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#216) | -0.79 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#252) | 0.489 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 20.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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