Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | M-OH +138 OHIO -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +13 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | OHIO -1.6 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -2.3 (-10.7) | 140.1 (-9.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -1.5 (-11.5) | 139.0 (-8.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -1.4 (-11.6) | 138.3 (-7.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -1.2 (-11.8) | 139.7 (-8.7) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | M-OH 110 – 108 OHIO |
| Feb 14, 2026 | M-OH 90 – 74 OHIO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OHIO 75 – 66 M-OH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | M-OH 73 – 69 OHIO |
| Feb 3, 2024 | OHIO 78 – 69 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#244) | 0.6 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#219) | -0.05 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#247) | 0.01 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#229) | 0.498 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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