Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | OHIO -240 M-OH +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +9 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -2.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (-19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -2.2 (+6.8) | 156.7 (-15.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -2.2 (+6.8) | 155.5 (-14.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -1.7 (+7.3) | 156.0 (-15.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -1.9 (+7.1) | 157.1 (-16.1) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | M-OH 110 – 108 OHIO |
| Feb 14, 2026 | M-OH 90 – 74 OHIO |
| Feb 1, 2025 | M-OH 73 – 69 OHIO |
| Mar 9, 2024 | OHIO 72 – 59 M-OH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | OHIO 78 – 69 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-3 | 15-1 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#166) | -0.1 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#181) | 0.69 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#194) | 0.47 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#162) | 0.544 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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