Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | M-OH -230 OHIO +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +4 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -3.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.0 (-19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -3.2 (+0.8) | 155.0 (-13.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -3.2 (+0.8) | 156.2 (-14.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -3.2 (+0.8) | 156.3 (-14.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -3.7 (+0.3) | 157.0 (-15.0) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | M-OH 110 – 108 OHIO |
| Feb 14, 2026 | M-OH 90 – 74 OHIO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OHIO 75 – 66 M-OH |
| Mar 9, 2024 | OHIO 72 – 59 M-OH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | OHIO 78 – 69 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-1 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#170) | -0.4 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#115) | -0.04 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#132) | -0.31 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#142) | 0.510 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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